Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 869.465794 985.661278 1116.396208 1275.329318 1464.586597 1684.328073 1961.091501
2025-01-26 718.353864 875.230536 1069.354148 1331.275229 1681.819673 2144.319456 2817.398750
2025-02-02 627.464728 800.791378 1029.078195 1359.771846 1840.664263 2538.493230 3676.456740
2025-02-09 559.419279 739.571285 988.533486 1370.055241 1963.803197 2897.778582 4582.682843
2025-02-16 502.438356 683.165190 942.783992 1359.510582 2046.307894 3205.346160 5497.068235
2025-02-23 469.526415 655.567520 932.868517 1398.486298 2210.891648 3684.276961 6896.647303
2025-03-02 444.134201 635.230896 929.871117 1445.863532 2396.578246 4247.368898 8707.860112
2025-03-09 417.123174 608.904432 913.278529 1466.173412 2535.357142 4755.719152 10641.381035
2025-03-16 388.984217 577.630008 884.429397 1459.462990 2619.372366 5171.424519 12561.794968
2025-03-23 370.462794 559.889184 875.841921 1487.810987 2779.084345 5805.530972 15497.059559
2025-03-30 341.647853 522.440405 829.152777 1436.632896 2758.881472 5999.140659 17166.783515
2025-04-06 316.645991 489.402532 787.055596 1388.835398 2737.160537 6183.962816 18948.211246
2025-04-13 292.919101 457.383851 745.004731 1338.218554 2705.682127 6352.107918 20891.513038
2025-04-20 285.958654 454.023846 755.211537 1397.297140 2949.994562 7402.653364 27679.134836
2025-04-27 275.911447 444.250756 752.225099 1427.637790 3130.526033 8342.723573 35251.888595
2025-05-04 264.495940 431.040295 741.230438 1438.586546 3263.313250 9190.558908 43705.867132
2025-05-11 251.692831 414.299663 721.702756 1427.359509 3333.200501 9853.284715 52234.490583
2025-05-18 245.323755 409.044564 724.570967 1468.865240 3565.156353 11259.560125 69808.779049
2025-05-25 240.153752 405.622528 730.768430 1519.346166 3839.120975 13018.285703 96646.861697
2025-06-01 232.675256 397.179791 725.656702 1540.995901 4029.692316 14544.695895 127924.104492
2025-06-08 223.292500 384.369885 710.122576 1533.842173 4124.549961 15683.535590 160359.777587
2025-06-15 217.568342 378.410166 708.858686 1564.067004 4357.879916 17737.843743 223895.578593
2025-06-22 205.729232 359.474187 677.581383 1509.508423 4274.712518 17961.480746 251681.845411